Markets continue to bet against inflation

Published Date 5/10/2022

TODAY’S MORTGAGE RATE SUMMARY
HOW RATES MOVE:
Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

RATES CURRENTLY TRENDING: LOWER
Mortgage rates are moving lower today. The MBS market improved by +67 bps yesterday. This was enough to decrease mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced high volatility yesterday.

TODAY’S RATE FORECAST: NEUTRAL
Small Business Optimism: The NFIB index remained at 93.2 in April vs. est. of 92.9

Treasury Sales: We kick off three days of dumping our debt into the marketplace with today’s shorter term 3 year note auction. Wed we have the 10 year note and most importantly, we have our 30 year bond auction on Thursday.

The Fed: Today we hear from NY Fed President Williams along with Bostic, Barkin, Kashkari and Mester.

TODAY’S POTENTIAL RATE VOLATILITY: HIGH
This morning markets continue an optimistic move to better pricing. Volatility will remain high as markets predict inflation news.

BOTTOM LINE:
If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

Source: TBWS

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