Published Date 10/6/2022
TODAY’S MORTGAGE RATE SUMMARY
HOW RATES MOVE:
Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.
RATES CURRENTLY TRENDING: NEUTRAL
Mortgage rates are moving sideways today. The MBS market worsened by -31 bps yesterday. This was enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced high volatility yesterday.
TODAY’S RATE FORECAST: HIGHER
Jobs: We saw a pretty sizable increase in the number of announced corporate job cuts per the September Challenger Job Cuts report which moved from 20,485 in August to 29,989 in Sept. Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected (219K vs. est. of 200K) but the prior week was revised lower to 190K. This brings the more closely watched 4 week moving average down to 206,500. Continuing Claims were 1.361M vs. est. of only 1.286M.
The Fed: Today we hear from Kashkari, Evans, Waller, Mester and Cook.
TODAY’S POTENTIAL RATE VOLATILITY: HIGH
This morning markets continue to trade under pressure. Volatility has started lower then previous days as the market has been moving steadily.
BOTTOM LINE:
If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.Source: TBWS
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
Not all borrowers qualify for all programs, must meet underwriting guidelines and are subject to credit review and approval. This does not constitute a commitment to lend. JC Financial Solutions, Inc is an Equal Housing Lender. NMLS 365033, CABRE 01445232
